All Posts

Daily Still bullish. Yesterday the D21 and previous resistance acted as support. We have the quarterly GG play open up to SPY 700. If we lose previous resistance, then PQC and D48 is next up. I could see us trapping late shorts down there before moving higher. On SPX we've already rejected the quarterly call trigger, but the 21e held. PO is trending down but not curling yet. Daily bias is bullish. We may find support here and long term calls could be an interesting play. 4H S

Really solid week though still being an asshole with my position sizing. More patience. More conviction. Smaller risk. Hold longer. Yes, I profited but in some cases it's because I sized and exited quick. I highlight yesterdays afternoon trade as perfect. I waited, waited, waited for the ideal setup. I took a tiny position. And, even though it was tiny, because it was the right move, we still moved the needle. That's what I aspire to do every time. 10m levels of interest. Ann

I will establish - like Mancini - levels with which I'm willing to engage at. Outside of that I will let price do it's thing. Daily Everything still bullish. Quarterly call trigger and Daily 8e held as support yesterday. SPY overnight retested both and again we bounced. We did get down arrows firing on RAF and a mean reversion dot on PO. Doesn't mean we revert immediately, just less LIKElY to rip higher without a deeper pullback. 4h 618 hit yesterday. 21e and bull gap held as

When I think about yesterday... It's interesting/frustrating/noteworthy that my initial trade with really small size, I was unwilling to take a small move against me and therefore cut the position (only for it to rip in my original direction). Then later when I put more size, I was willing to stomach drawdowns and even average down -- totally accepting the loss? but maybe also that much more confident. I think maybe it had more to do with the confidence in the edge than it di

Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Rate decision at 2p. Jpow starts speaking at 2:30p. Volatility expected. I do not have to trade. I do not have to put my capital at risk. I have to go through my checklist to initiate a trade. I have to size extra small because the volatility can produce enough upside while the lateness in the day opening me up to full downside. Do less. Daily Bullish and crazy extended. We're more than 2 std dev above the 21e. I certainly wo

Didn't get to the screen until 3p today. I was - as I should always be - very reluctant to trade. However, we basically had the same setup as yesterday. All time frames bullish. The 10m very much acting as support. A clear morning star off the 10m8e with a later wick off that same level of support. Then the 3m started holding as well, with a squeeze. The 500 level on SPY and previous HOD was just above and that was the play. Gamma didn't show any material strength above 6900

Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Checklist. Size. Daily - Bullish Since Thursday am.. A massive gap up Friday, followed by another gap up today. We are now pretty extended from the Daily ribbons while also having passed the quarterly call trigger on both SPX and SPY. Next level up is the quarterly 382 at 6903 on SPX. Today we may start extending the expanding the squeeze. We're also starting to approach the distribution zone

Long hiatus because of my other job. Back to what drives me. Daily Everything is still very bullish. However, yesterday and Monday we failed to break out of the extreme supply zone created last Friday. We retraced almost the whole move and as of 2:45p we're putting in an evening star reversal on the daily. But, that could easily be a restest of the daily 21 before continuation. There's no reason to predict, we'll just wait for price to determine the probabilities. Looks actua

Daily Still bullish! Daily 8e support. Resistance turned clear support. Bias is up. Though we have spent the last 6 days ranging between...

Daily... still bullish AF. Tho we put in a bearish engulfing yesterday with the Daily 8e holding as support. Bias is up but would not be...

1pm Still bullish on the daily. Trying for our 8th straight move up. Big sudden flush this morning shifting the trend clearly down. Clear...

My mistake today. Not starting on the HTF. Yes it's hard to worry but so much about bias on time frames higher than an hour given my...

Two days ago I was emphatic about waiting for an in ribbon entry on the 10m. Yesterday I was equally emphatic, it never came, and I took...

A running record.. We're still bullish on the daily and 4h time frame. Hourly is sideways. We've bounced off of resistance turned support...

Gargi's 51st birthday and the 3 year mark of me exclusively chasing my passion for trading. I think it's important to take a step back...

10m SPY was down. Just a matter of waiting until a move into the ribbon to trap late longs and then continue the move down. Because we...

What are the ATR Probabilities? That is my system. Wait until absolutely obvious on the 10m. Then see how price is reacting to the 3/21....

What are the ATR Probabilities? That is my system. Wait until absolutely obvious on the 10m. Then see how price is reacting to the 3/21....

Great day of being stupid patient and waiting until obvious. I will continue to do that. Pretty simple morning trade. Morning chop led to...

I know what needs to be done. It's simply about patience and ignoring my fomo. I can't get rid of it, but I pause and choose not to act....